Federal Reserve & US Economy

Federal Reserve & US Economy12 hours ago

BoE’s Mann Warns UK Inflation Could Become Further Entrenched in Pay Deals

Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann said on 6 October that inflation above the Bank’s 2% target had become embedded in Britain. Speaking at a TS Lombard conference, she warned that inflation approaching 4% around the turn of the year could influence annual wage negotiations and entrench price pressures further. Her comments present a policymaker’s assessment of inflation risk, rather than a new interest-rate decision. The distinction matters for traders assessing how wage settlements could shape the UK monetary-policy outlook.

GBP/USDUK INFLATION

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy12 hours ago

Thai September Inflation Rises to 2.82%, Below Forecast

Thailand’s annual headline inflation rose to 2.82% in September from 2.53% in August, driven by fuel and food prices, the Commerce Ministry reported on 6 October. The reading was below the 3.06% forecast in a Reuters poll and remained within the central bank’s 1%–3% target range. Core inflation was 1.50%. Officials expect further headline price pressure in the fourth quarter, while the Bank of Thailand’s next policy meeting is scheduled for 28 October.

USD/THBINFLATION

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy14 hours ago

Philippine Inflation Accelerates to 7.2% in September

Philippine inflation accelerated to 7.2% in September from 6.1% in August, exceeding economists’ 6.6% forecast. Higher prices for food, rice, electricity, fuel and transport drove the increase, adding to pressure on households and monetary policy.

USD/PHP

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy16 hours ago

German Factory Orders Fall 10.6% as Large Contracts Reverse

New Zealand business confidence rose sharply in the third quarter, but actual trading activity remained soft. The data shows a gap between stronger expectations for future conditions and weaker current demand, highlighting continued challenges for businesses.

EUR/USDGERMAN FACTORY

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy17 hours ago

CFTC Opens Rulemaking for Federal Crypto-Market Framework After Congress Stalls

The CFTC has opened rulemaking for a federal framework covering leveraged and margined crypto trading after Congress failed to advance broader crypto legislation. The proposed rules aim to give eligible exchanges a national regulatory pathway and strengthen market oversight and consumer protections.

BITCOIN / U.S. DOLLARCFTCCRYPTO-MARKET

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economya day ago

ECB's Nagel Says 3.8% Inflation Has Not Yet Triggered Clear Second-Round Effects

ECB policymaker Joachim Nagel said inflation at 3.8% has not yet produced clear second-round effects. The comments suggest that policymakers are monitoring whether higher prices begin to feed into wages and broader inflation expectations.

ECBINFLATIONEFFECTS

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economya day ago

ECB's Lane Says Energy-Shock Demand Destruction May Limit Required Rate Tightening

European Central Bank Chief Economist Philip Lane said the latest energy-price surge creates both upside inflation risks and downside growth risks, with weaker demand potentially limiting how much monetary policy needs to tighten. Lane said underlying inflation indicators do not yet show a persistent upward shift in medium-term inflation and described the appropriate policy approach as a measured 'middle path'. Higher energy costs can suppress household and business demand even as they lift headline prices, complicating the ECB's response after two rate increases during the summer.

ECBENERGY-SHOCK DEMAND DESTRUCTION

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economya day ago

UK Services Growth Slows as Fuel Costs Drive Renewed Inflation Pressure

UK services growth slowed as higher fuel costs increased inflationary pressure across the sector. The combination of weaker activity and rising costs could complicate the Bank of England’s decisions on interest rates and the broader economic outlook.

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economya day ago

Euro-Area Producer Prices Jump 1.9% in August as Energy Costs Surge

Euro-area producer prices rose 1.9% in August as a sharp increase in energy costs pushed overall producer inflation higher. The data highlights renewed cost pressures for businesses and could add to concerns about inflation across the euro area.

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economya day ago

IMF and Sri Lanka Reach Staff-Level Deal That Could Unlock About $345 Million

The IMF and Sri Lanka have reached a staff-level agreement that could unlock about $345 million in funding. The deal supports Sri Lanka’s ongoing economic reform programme and could provide additional financial stability as the country continues its recovery.

SRI LANKAIMF$345 MILLION

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economya day ago

BOJ's Uchida Says AI Boom May Be Reshaping Inflation, Financial Conditions and Neutral Rates

BOJ Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida said the AI boom could reshape inflation, financial conditions and neutral interest rates. His comments highlight growing uncertainty over how rapid AI investment and productivity changes may influence Japan’s economy and monetary policy.

AI BOOMFINANCIAL CONDITIONS

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy4 days ago

US Payrolls Rise Just 29K in September as Unemployment Climbs to 4.2%

NFP showdown is here. 📊 With +90K jobs expected, a divided Fed and the Dollar near 17-month highs, markets could see sharp moves across DXY, Gold, Treasury yields and the S&P 500

U.S. DOLLAR INDEXU.S. 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELDGOLD / U.S. DOLLAR

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy4 days ago

Tokyo Core Inflation Jumps to 2.7% in September, Strengthening BOJ Hike Case

Tokyo’s core inflation rose to 2.7% in September, strengthening expectations that the Bank of Japan may consider another interest-rate hike. The increase highlights continued price pressures in Japan and keeps monetary policy in focus.

USD/JPY

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

Turkey Manufacturing PMI Falls to 47.9 as Middle East War Weighs on Demand

Turkey’s manufacturing PMI fell to 47.9 as weaker demand weighed on factory activity. The decline indicates continued contraction in the manufacturing sector, with regional conflict and economic uncertainty affecting business conditions.

USD/TRY

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

Taiwan Manufacturing PMI Jumps to 56.7 as AI-Led Export Demand Accelerates

Taiwan’s manufacturing PMI jumped to 56.7 as strong demand for artificial intelligence-related products accelerated export activity. The reading points to expanding factory conditions and continued strength in Taiwan’s technology and semiconductor-related sectors.

USD/TWDTAIWAN WEIGHTED INDEX

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

South Korea Factory PMI Rises to 53.9 as Export Orders Grow Fastest Since 2011

South Korea’s factory PMI rose to 53.9 as export orders recorded their fastest growth since 2011. The data points to stronger manufacturing activity and improving external demand, particularly across export-oriented industries.

USD/KRWKOSPI

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

UK House Prices Fall 0.2% in September as Annual Growth Halves to 0.8%

UK house prices fell 0.2% in September, while annual growth slowed to 0.8% from the previous rate. The figures indicate weaker momentum in the housing market as buyers and sellers respond to changing economic and borrowing conditions.

GBP/USDUK 10-YEAR GILT YIELD

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

Euro-Area Unemployment Holds at 6.4% in August as Jobless Count Edges Higher

Euro-area unemployment remained unchanged at 6.4% in August, while the number of unemployed people edged higher. The data indicates that the region’s labour market remains relatively stable, although joblessness increased slightly during the month.

EUR/USDGERMANY 10-YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

Japan Large-Manufacturer Confidence Hits Eight-Year High in BOJ Tankan

Confidence among Japan’s large manufacturers has reached an eight-year high in the latest BOJ Tankan survey. The improvement points to stronger business sentiment among major manufacturers as companies assess economic conditions and future activity.

USD/JPYJAPAN 10-YEAR GOVERNMENT BOND YIELD

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

UK 30-Year Gilt Yield Breaks 6% for First Time Since 1998

The UK 30-year gilt yield has risen above 6% for the first time since 1998. The sharp increase highlights higher long-term government borrowing costs as investors reassess inflation, interest rates and the UK’s fiscal outlook.

UK 30-YEAR GILT YIELDGBP/USD

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

Euro-Zone Factory Growth Hits Four-Year High as September PMI Rises to 52.9

Euro-zone factory activity strengthened in September, with the PMI rising to 52.9, its highest level in four years. The reading indicates a continued expansion in manufacturing activity and points to improving conditions across the region’s industrial sector.

EUR/USD

↗

Federal Reserve & US Economy5 days ago

U.S. Core PCE Rises 0.2% in August as Inflation Comes in Below Expectations

core PCE inflation rose 0.2% in August, coming in below market expectations. The softer reading may ease some inflation concerns as investors assess the outlook for Federal Reserve interest-rate policy.

U.S. DOLLAR INDEXU.S. 10-YEAR TREASURY YIELD

↗